2008 Presidential Election Betting Hits The Online Sportsbook Campaign Trail
Not that members of the sports betting
industry needed it but when Chris Matthews, the loquacious and assertive
host of MSNBC's Hardball, quoted odds on the 2008 race for President of
the United States, the practice of betting on elections gained a measure
of acceptability.
Election betting is not new. In fact,
Las Vegas oddsmaker Jimmy "The Greek" Snyder gained fame and credibility
(which later led to a spot on CBS' NFL preview show) when, after noting
that women did not trust men who wore mustaches, boldly predicted that
underdog incumbent President Harry S. Truman would defeat New York Governor
Thomas E. Dewey in the race for the Oval Office in 1948. Or so the story
goes.
The irony is that Nevada sportsbooks
do not accept wagers on elections. The often cited reason is not that,
like entertainment award voting such as the Oscars, that someone knows
the results of the balloting in advance, but that there is something queasy
about mixing gambling and politics.
Yeah, right.
Certainly, most online sportsbooks
outside the jurisdiction of the Silver State have little difficulty in
posting futures on who will win the next four-year lease at 1600 Pennsylvania
Avenue. The process, which should come to a conclusion when delegate-rich
states such as California, New York and Florida vote next February, already
is underway with 10 Republicans and eight Democrats vying for the prize.
Each party field could grow and there also is the possibility for a fusion
ticket or an independent candidacy.
Generally, online sportsbooks attack
the 2008 election in one of three ways. The simplest way is to post a generic
proposition on which party will win the White House. Led by a President
with record low approval ratings and saddled with an increasingly unpopular
war in Iraq, the Republicans are clear underdogs to maintain control in
2008, usually listed as +140 underdogs (bet $100 to win $140). On the other
hand, Democrats, with their base more energetic and independent voters
tracking in their direction, are quoted as -160 favorites (bet $160 to
win $100) to regain control of the Oval Office.
Could someone unaligned with either
of the major parties, such as an independent or a third party candidate,
win? You can get +5250 on that remote possibility.
Many online sportsbooks also boast
separate future books for Democrats and Republicans. Although she voted
to authorize the Iraq war, a very unpopular position among party activists,
New York Senator and former First Lady Hillary Clinton heads the list of
Democrats, usually at odds around 4/5. Representing a younger generation,
Illinois Senator Barack Obama is the clear second choice at 5/2 with former
North Carolina Senator John Edwards, 5/1, and as yet unannounced candidate,
former Vice President Al Gore, offered from a low of 4/1 to a high of 10/1.
New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, who widely is viewed as an ideal vice
presidential choice, Senators Chris Dodd (CT) and Joe Biden (DE), former
Senator Mike Gravel (Alaska) and Congressman Dennis Kucinich, are longshots.
Despite holding liberal to moderate
views on many social issues, such as abortion, gay rights and gun control,
former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani is a 7/5 favorite to get the nod of
the largely conservative GOP to run for President. Arizona Senator John
McCain, who holds an unpopular position on immigration, is the 5/2 second
choice with former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, whose positions
have evolved (his detractors would say "flip-flopped") is quoted at 4/1
with former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson likely to enter the race in
July at about the same odds as Romney.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich,
would enter the race at about 15/1 should he diced to run, ahead of previously
announced candidates such as former Governors Mike Huckabee (AK) and Tommy
Thompson WI), Senator Sam Brownback (KS), and Representatives Duncan Hunter,
Ron Paul and Tom Tancredo.
Senator Chuck Hagel (NE), 30/1, could
enter the race as either a Republican or as an independent.
The third way online sportsbooks
offer Presidential election futures is to lump all the candidates together
in one massive book. The difference between this type of book and the separate
party books is the same as the difference between World Series and pennant
futures; more risk but more reward in going for the whole enchilada.
Clinton is the favorite in the big
book, usually at about 2/1. Giuliani checks in next at odds of 7/2 with
Obama at 4/1, McCain at 6/1, Romney and Gore at 8/1.
As the 2008 election draws nearer,
many online sportsbooks will add key Senate, House and Governor races to
their wagering menu, providing even more options to election betting.
This article was written by Karol
Lucan for http://www.thegreek.com-The
Greek Sportsbook & Casino is host to one of the top online
sportsbooks offering sports betting on NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and all other
major sports. The Greek is a must have sports betting and entertainment
portal with one of the largest wagering menus available online. Article
reproductions must include a link pointing to http://www.thegreek.com
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